FORECASTING AGRO-FOOD TRADE INTEGRATION EFFECTS IN EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION

Issue № 8, 2017, article № 11, pages 77-84

Section: Foreign news

Language: Russian

Original language title: ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ ЭФФЕКТОВ ИНТЕГРАЦИИ АГРОПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННОЙ ТОРГОВЛИ В ЕАЭС

Keywords: EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION, INTEGRATION, FORECAST, TRADE, AGRICULTURE

Abstract: The coordinated agrofood policy can't be productive without monitoring of economic and social indicators of agrarian and industrial complex of the countries of EEU. The choice of agro food policy can be estimated development of integration processes. The system of measurement of essential properties and characteristics of these processes is necessary for successful regulation of integration processes in the agrarian sphere of EEU. In article the analysis of the integrated agro food markets of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) is carried out, the method for assessment of integration processes in trade in agricultural and food products of member countries of EEU is offered. For the agro food markets it is necessary to count indicators of sectoral integration. Assessment of effects of convergence of indicators of value added of agriculture of member countries of EEU is executed on the basis of calculation of coefficients of a variation of the temporary ranks calculated for EEU and for each couple of member countries. The analysis of processes of convergence in EEU shows their sustainable development. The conclusion is drawn on positive influence of integration on intra-branch trade. The revealed convergence is a consequence of integration political steps, and increase in speed of convergence after creation of the CU and EEU is observed. Keywords: Eurasian Economic Union, integration, forecast, trade, agriculture.

Authors: Siptits Stanislav Ottovich, Romanenko Irina Anatolevna, Evdokimova Natalia Egorovna