MODELING OF AGROFOOD POLICY OF THE REGION

Issue № 1, 2016, article № 10, pages 71-76

Section: Problems of agroeconomic researches

Language: Russian

Original language title: МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ АГРОПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННОЙ ПОЛИТИКИ РЕГИОНА

Keywords: AGRARIAN POLICY, AGRICULTURE, SUBSIDIES, SELF-RELIANCE, IMPORT SUBSTITUTION, FORECASTING, MODELING

Abstract: The agrarian policy pursued in recent years poorly influences economic growth in agriculture, doesn't create conditions for ensuring forward development of agrarian production. Foreign sanctions aggravated an import substitution problem in agrarian and industrial complex and food security of the country. Level of production on a row of agricultural goods doesn't answer the principle of self-reliance with the food, thus among producers the obvious emphasis on release of noncompetitive production in the region and ignoring of economic production is observed. All this doesn't promote rational use of agrarian potential, slows down accumulation of food power of the country, and therefore demands need of association of efforts of science and authorities on improvement of public administration in the agro-industrial sphere. Methods of monographic research, the complex economic and financial analysis, economic-mathematical and econometric assessment were applied to the solution of tasks, settlement and constructive. Research is conducted with use of analytical data of summary accounting reports under agriculture of the Penza region. In this research the models of forecasting of development of agriculture which are available in science and put into practice are generalized, and also the models allowing to estimate functional dependence of results of an agrarian policy on means and methods of its realization are received. On their basis scenarios of development of agriculture are proved. Results of research are planned to be used for preparation of offers to governing bodies of agrarian and industrial complex on improvement of methods and models of the mechanism of forecasting and planning of strategic development of agricultural production. The conducted research shows that low efficiency of an agrarian policy of regions is connected with insufficient identification of factors and risks in agriculture, ways of their leveling. The contents of expected documents of strategic development of branch need further improvement. They don't allow to coordinate the mechanism of a state policy in the village, adequate to realities of agrarian economy. Therefore improvement of quality of the events held concerning agriculture is possible due to strengthening of scientific validity of the used tool base of forecasting.

Authors: Baryshnikov Nikolai Georgievich, Samygin Denis IUrevich