STABILITY OF PRODUCTION OF GRAIN IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Issue № 1, 2016, article № 7, pages 46-53

Section: Agrofood market

Language: Russian

Original language title: УСТОЙЧИВОСТЬ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА ЗЕРНА В РОССИЙСКОЙ ФЕДЕРАЦИИ

Keywords: GRAIN FARM, FLUCTUATION OF PRODUCTION AND DEMAND, SHOWER PRODUCTION, VARIATION COEFFICIENT, STABILITY COEFFICIENT, TEMPORARY RANKS, INTENSITY OF FLUCTUATIONS

Abstract: A grain farm of the country concentrates nearly over two thirds of crops of grain crops in regions of unstable moistening. It characterizes the high variability of production of grain. Instability of production of grain negatively influences market conditions of the grain market, leads to introduction of administrative barriers, increases commercial risks. In recent years feature of development of the grain market consists available rather stable and low-elastic demand and sharp jumps in the offer of grain in bumper-crop and lean years. Stability of a grain farm which characterizes dynamics of its development is considered, reflects degree of reliability and efficiency of economic activity of grain branch for the purpose of fuller accounting of set of the factors influencing results of functioning of grain branch. For studying of fluctuations of production of grain temporary ranks of cultivated areas of grain crops, their gross collecting and productivity for the 50-year period countrywide and on group of regions with production of grain over one ton on the person in 2011-2014 were created. For the considered period considerable fluctuations of production of grain per capita as countrywide, and in a section of regions are observed. It is proved that production of grain in the regions of the country conducting the grain producers is placed in a zone of unstable agriculture and, despite considerable specific all in the all-Russian production, is unstable. Extensiveness of the territory of the country and a wide circulation of cultivation of grain crops on regions of the country allows smoothing a variability of production of grain countrywide. Decrease in a high variability of a grain yield of cultures on regions of the country requires creation of innovative and investment model of development of a grain farm.

Authors: SHovunova Natalia IUrevna